172nd
Accuracy Rank

ruth_jl9

About:
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2.599975

Relative Brier Score

66

Forecasts

1

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 1 73 66 104
Comments 0 0 0 0 17
Questions Forecasted 0 1 22 22 31
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 1 1 1
 Definitions
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ruth_jl9
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
ruth_jl9
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4%
Yes
Oct 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025
96%
No
Oct 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025

Any attack to nuclear facilitie will increase the conflict to wordwide level, the further attacks will be addressed to other kind of buildings. 

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New Prediction

Kharkiv could be an option due proximity to Russian territory but looks like Russia will not be using their troops soon. 

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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
ruth_jl9
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
99% (0%)
Yes
1% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
ruth_jl9
made their 9th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
ruth_jl9
made their 7th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 26, 2024 09:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
97% (0%)
No
Sep 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
ruth_jl9
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2024 to Sep 26, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Sep 26, 2024 to Sep 26, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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