62nd
Accuracy Rank

ryanu

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Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 8 36 36 36
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 5 13 13 13
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (-2%)
Yes
Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025
97% (+2%)
No
Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025

updating post election

Files
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
45% (+5%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
30% (0%)
Su-35 fighter jets

updating post-Parchin

Files
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
30% (+10%)
Yes
Nov 15, 2024 to Nov 15, 2025
70% (-10%)
No
Nov 15, 2024 to Nov 15, 2025

updating

Files
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
25%
Yes
Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025
75%
No
Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025

overpriced

Files
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5% (0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025
95% (0%)
No
Nov 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20% (0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2024 to Nov 1, 2025
80% (0%)
No
Nov 1, 2024 to Nov 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
ryanu
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
ryanu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
40% (0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
30% (0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
ryanu
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Nov 3, 2024 01:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
70% (+10%)
Yes
Oct 3, 2024 to Apr 3, 2025
30% (-10%)
No
Oct 3, 2024 to Apr 3, 2025

updating

Files
Files
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