Confirmed previous forecast
-0.045211
Relative Brier Score
22
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Iran: Threats & Influence,
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: Diplomacy
New Prediction
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 8, 2024 to Feb 8, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(+20%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
30%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
events
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-3%)
Yes
updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
92%
(+6%)
Less than $90
5%
(-5%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
2%
(-1%)
More than or equal to $120
updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
86%
(-7%)
Less than $90
10%
(+7%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
0%
(-1%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
3%
(+1%)
More than or equal to $120
updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
93%
(+4%)
Less than $90
3%
(-3%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
2%
(-1%)
More than or equal to $120
updating
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 28, 2024 07:17PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
21%
(+3%)
Yes
Feb 28, 2024 to Aug 28, 2024
updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(-5%)
Yes
96%
(+5%)
No
updating
Files