sai_39

Saicharan Ritwik Chinni
About:

Undergrad student from India pursuing 4 majors (Mathematics, Data Science, Finance and Electronics).
My GJ Open Profile: https://www.gjopen.com/forecaster/sai_39
My RANGE Website Profile: https://www.rangeforecasting.org/forecaster/sai_39

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Forecasted Questions
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Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 11, 2024 03:36AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 1% 7%
Armenia 0% 2%
Georgia 0% 4%
Kazakhstan 0% 2%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 11, 2024 06:43AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 2%
Latvia 0% 1%
Lithuania 0% 2%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(12 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 11, 2024 06:48AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 8%
No 100% 92%

Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 12, 2024 03:37AM UTC
(7 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
No 100% 100%

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 12, 2024 03:39AM UTC
(7 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 15% 10%
No 85% 90%

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 12, 2024 05:41PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 5% Nov 12, 2024 to Nov 12, 2025 Feb 12, 2025 22%
No 95% Nov 12, 2024 to Nov 12, 2025 Feb 12, 2025 78%

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 12, 2024 05:41PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 100%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 16, 2024 09:35AM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 16, 2024 09:35AM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
S-400 or S-500 missile system 1% 9%
Su-35 fighter jets 3% 6%

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
 12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 16, 2024 09:35AM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 5%
No 99% 95%
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