Confirmed previous forecast
-0.00002
Relative Brier Score
143
Forecasts
12
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 4 | 26 | 143 | 143 | 143 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 4 | 23 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 27, 2024 to Mar 27, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
75%
(+65%)
Yes
Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025
25%
(-65%)
No
Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025
Updating based on the current developments and bombardments.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
30%
(-15%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
70%
(+15%)
More than or equal to 28%
Increasing based on recent crowd activity.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
(-3%)
Yes
93%
(+3%)
No
Accounting for time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(-1%)
Yes
Sep 19, 2024 to Mar 19, 2025
100%
(+1%)
No
Sep 19, 2024 to Mar 19, 2025
Updating.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(-15%)
Yes
Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025
90%
(+15%)
No
Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025
Updating.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Sep 16, 2024 to Mar 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files