All in.
0.160005
Relative Brier Score
191
Forecasts
12
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 10 | 26 | 191 | 191 | 191 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 8 | 22 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
0%
(-5%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
100%
(+5%)
More than or equal to 28%
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
95%
(0%)
More than or equal to 28%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 19, 2024 to May 19, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
0%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
3%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Going all in with only one month left.