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sai_39

Saicharan Ritwik Chinni
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Undergrad student from India pursuing 4 majors (Mathematics, Data Science, Finance and Electronics).

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Forecasted Questions
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Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 03, 2024 07:16PM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 10, 2024 02:24PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 1% 4%
Kyiv 0% 1%
Odesa 1% 1%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 10, 2024 02:24PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 99% 96%
No 1% 4%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 11, 2024 04:19AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Sep 11, 2024 to Mar 11, 2025 Oct 11, 2024 0%
No 100% Sep 11, 2024 to Mar 11, 2025 Oct 11, 2024 100%

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 11, 2024 07:42AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 11%
No 90% 89%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 11, 2024 07:42AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 1% 7%
Armenia 0% 1%
Georgia 0% 3%
Kazakhstan 0% 1%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 11, 2024 07:42AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 2%
Latvia 0% 1%
Lithuania 0% 1%

Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 12, 2024 05:48PM UTC
(18 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
No 100% 100%

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 13, 2024 03:03PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 13, 2024 03:04PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 5% Sep 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2025 Dec 13, 2024 8%
No 95% Sep 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2025 Dec 13, 2024 92%
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