sai_39

Saicharan Ritwik Chinni
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Forecasted Questions

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 13, 2024 03:04PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 5% Sep 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2025 Dec 13, 2024 22%
No 95% Sep 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2025 Dec 13, 2024 78%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 09, 2024 05:23PM UTC
(27 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Oct 9, 2024 to Apr 9, 2025 Nov 9, 2024 1%
No 100% Oct 9, 2024 to Apr 9, 2025 Nov 9, 2024 99%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 10, 2024 03:56PM UTC
(26 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 1% 4%
Kyiv 0% 1%
Odesa 1% 3%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 11, 2024 04:01AM UTC
(26 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 99% 97%
No 1% 3%

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 11, 2024 09:30AM UTC
(25 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 27%
No 90% 73%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 11, 2024 01:05PM UTC
(25 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 1% 8%
Armenia 0% 2%
Georgia 0% 4%
Kazakhstan 0% 2%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 12, 2024 04:09AM UTC
(25 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 2%
Latvia 0% 1%
Lithuania 0% 1%

Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 12, 2024 06:53PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
No 100% 100%

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2024 04:08PM UTC
(23 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 17, 2024 04:26AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%
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