Not as familiar with C2PA.
3.204456
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Science & Technology,
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Yes
65%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Not as familiar with C2PA.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
30%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Heavy use of large language models eases barrier of entry for influence operations.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Meta may be influenced to not report depending on who conducts the operations.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
63%
Yes
37%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Not familiar with C2PA
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Not familiar with C2PA
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
Less than 4 million
50%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
25%
More than or equal to 6 million
Why do you think you're right?
Not as familiar with World ID
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Not as familiar with World ID
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
Yes
40%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Twitter seems to be more transparent in their labeling of posts, however I see Meta (Mark Zuckerburg) following soon after.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Depends on the quality of AI detection by the companies. The ability to not only detect, but keep up with updates by AI generated posts will likely take a lot of time and resources to keep up with.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?