spiffy-bowl-90

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0.513725

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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My First Question

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New Prediction
spiffy-bowl-90
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 24
0%
Between 25 and 34, inclusive
64%
Between 35 and 44, inclusive
36%
Between 45 and 54, inclusive
0%
More than or equal to 55
Why do you think you're right?

Factoring in seasonality and fewer rides/collisions after the summer season 

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Why might you be wrong?

Two years ago, didn't see a downturn in collisions in the fall vs. summer season. Also, could see more collisions in the fall given that rides are becoming more frequent. 

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