China already does and will continue to ban the NLM.
2.971485
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
They will use AI to support their photos as a value tool.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
To stay ahead of the narrative.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
It would impact their other operational businesses.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 4 million
0%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
People want to preserve their right to privacy.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
Yes
50%
No
I don’t think they’ll have enough data to differentiate. But, they will attempt.
Files