Confirmed previous forecast
-0.000494
Relative Brier Score
15
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 59 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Definitions |
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
The recent Ukrainian invasion into Russian territory might change the dynamics. Let's see what would happen in the following months...
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Minor update