Confirmed previous forecast
1.530465
Relative Brier Score
58
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 58 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Science & Technology,
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector,
Industry,
U.S.-China
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
EA College Tournament,
Future Bowl
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
The recent Ukrainian invasion into Russian territory might change the dynamics. Let's see what would happen in the following months...
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-3%)
Yes
98%
(+3%)
No
decreased
Files