Confirmed previous forecast
1.746875
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
14
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 67 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Such a great question when I just finished reading the book about Nvidia's CEO. As of today, Nvidia’s market cap sits at around $3.22 trillion, making it the second most valuable company globally, trailing Apple at roughly $3.6 trillion. Given the appearance of DeepSeek and other competitors, 30% is my conservative prediction.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
For Nvidia to become the top, it's about maintaining AI dominance.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
It's almost impossible to happen in the next few days.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files