Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
---|---|---|
Oct 26, 2024 03:29AM UTC | Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between May 10, 2024 and Oct 26, 2024) | -0.047492 |
Jun 28, 2024 04:00PM UTC | From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador? | -0.024143 |
Mar 03, 2024 05:00PM UTC | Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election? | 0.000967 |
Mar 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC | Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader before 1 March 2024? | 0.005592 |