Confirmed previous forecast
4.08193
Relative Brier Score
93
Forecasts
18
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 203 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 119 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 84 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 42 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
16%
(-19%)
Yes
84%
(+19%)
No
As of now they didn't announced.
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Mar 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-100%)
Yes
Misread the question. Correcting forecast.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(+29%)
Yes
Putin wins Russia election in landslide with no serious competition (@https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-presidential-vote-starts-final-day-with-accusations-kyiv-sabotage-2024-03-17/).
Vladimir Putin was always going to claim his fifth term as president with a landslide, faced with three other candidates all rubber-stamped by the Kremlin (@https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68592781).
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
15%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-10%)
Yes
There aren't any sign for that.
Files