newbie1

About:
Show more

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 1 1 17
Comments 0 0 0 0 2
Questions Forecasted 0 0 1 1 11
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 3
 Definitions
New Badge
newbie1
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

They would probably not announce the closure to avoid being seen as decreasing investment in the country. They would just relocate a lot of people and not say that they are closing the lab. Also given that they recently took a decision to relocate people but not announce closure, unlikely they would revisit the decision again so soon. But allow some probability because of uncertainties if Trump gets elected/possible conflict over taiwan 

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username