-0.731324
Relative Brier Score
17
Forecasts
3
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
U.S.-China ,
Public Attitudes,
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International Diplomacy & Conflict,
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Most Active Topics:
semiconductors
New Prediction
They would probably not announce the closure to avoid being seen as decreasing investment in the country. They would just relocate a lot of people and not say that they are closing the lab. Also given that they recently took a decision to relocate people but not announce closure, unlikely they would revisit the decision again so soon. But allow some probability because of uncertainties if Trump gets elected/possible conflict over taiwan