77th
Accuracy Rank

Bear

About:
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-0.423646

Relative Brier Score

88

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 51 35 125
Comments 0 0 0 0 4
Questions Forecasted 0 0 32 21 65
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction

israel does not seem interested

Files
New Prediction
Bear
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Bear
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Bear
made their 5th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 30, 2024 08:17PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Bear
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 10:09PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Aug 30, 2024
100%
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Aug 30, 2024

no large incentive

Files
New Prediction
Bear
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 10:09PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
100%
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025

would be too provocative of a move of china

Files
New Prediction

too much tension

Files
New Prediction
Bear
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 10:07PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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