Confirmed previous forecast
-0.427778
Relative Brier Score
125
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 4 | 4 | 52 | 35 | 125 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 4 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 65 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Iran-VNSAs,
Future Bowl
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 10:09PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Aug 30, 2024
100%
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Aug 30, 2024
no large incentive
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 10:09PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
100%
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
would be too provocative of a move of china
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
too much tension
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 10:07PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Jan 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
israel does not seem interested