Confirmed previous forecast
1.916739
Relative Brier Score
14
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | 54 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 27 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Oct 29, 2024 01:54AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
29%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
71%
(0%)
No
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(-14%)
Yes
65%
(+14%)
No
Recent attacks from Lebanon put in danger a peace pause
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
Yes
93%
No
Probably Huawei is not interested in developing technologies to support OPEN RAN rather than selling more equipment.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
38%
Less than 24%
0%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
0%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
62%
More than or equal to 28%
Laws and programs have been released to help enterprises to make semiconductors. USA government will aid American factories to not stop building equipment with chips.
Files
New Prediction
Countries are concentrated on economy, people security and health. There is no much time to raise programs to discover planets.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
77%
Yes
23%
No
Maduro is in control of all the main government institutions. It will be hard for the opposition to present a real opponent for the actual president,
Files