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  • 2022 Season
    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00PM Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023? -0.000117
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits? -0.004439
    Nov 18, 2023 05:00PM Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023? 0.149164
    Sep 18, 2023 04:01AM Of the following companies, which will start volume production on a 3nm chip or smaller before 17 September 2023? 0.015843
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022? -0.026206
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022? -0.001726
    Jul 1, 2023 04:00AM Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023? 0.009391
    Apr 20, 2023 03:52PM Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022? -0.002452
    Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined? -0.089665
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022? 0.026453
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most "high impact" AI research publications? -0.040272
    Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023? -0.024243
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023? -0.000062
    Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023? 0.029965
    Mar 1, 2023 05:00AM Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023? -0.000387
    Feb 28, 2023 05:00PM On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035? -0.000418
    Feb 1, 2023 06:46PM Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023? -0.000289
    Jan 25, 2023 02:00PM What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022? -0.015952
    Jan 18, 2023 05:00AM How many integrated circuit (IC) units will China produce in 2022? -0.02101
    Jan 2, 2023 05:01AM Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023? 0.004999
     
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