Confirmed previous forecast
0.023733
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
86
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
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Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 8 | 24 | 406 | 86 | 1032 |
| Comments | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 91 |
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| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 72 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2025 to Oct 11, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2025 to Oct 11, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2025 to Apr 11, 2026
94%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2025 to Apr 11, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2025 to Oct 11, 2025
96%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2025 to Oct 11, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2025 to Oct 11, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2025 to Oct 11, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 5, 2025 to Oct 5, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Apr 5, 2025 to Oct 5, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files