Naively guessing 20% in the next decade seems more reasonable than only 10% in the next decade. But I have zero expertise related to this.
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2%
Kuwait
2%
Oman
2%
Qatar
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Tunisia
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Why might you be wrong?
Could be anything from 0-10%, but I'm going low given base rates and the other forecaster who said 1%.
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