Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
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0
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Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 30 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 31, 2025 11:52PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
36%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 31, 2024 to Dec 31, 2025
64%
(0%)
No
Dec 31, 2024 to Dec 31, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
(0%)
Yes
35%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
6%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2025 10:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
36%
Yes
Nov 30, 2024 to Nov 30, 2025
64%
No
Nov 30, 2024 to Nov 30, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
He will likely be removed for health issues
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
Exoplanets are being found everywhere. It is very likely others will be found
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Probably not wrong
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
74%
(0%)
Yes
26%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Nvidia is set to become the most importante tech company
Why might you be wrong?
Nvidia is growing