170th
Accuracy Rank

JorgeVillan

Jorge Villan
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Forecasted Questions

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 03:07PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 2%
Latvia 1% 1%
Lithuania 1% 1%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2024 11:27PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 99% 97%
No 1% 3%

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2024 05:40PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 3% 5%
No 97% 95%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 02:38AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 01, 2024 04:01AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 2% Nov 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025 Dec 1, 2024 1%
No 98% Nov 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025 Dec 1, 2024 99%
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