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Active Forecaster
Why do you think you're right?
The sanctions imposed on Russia by the EU in response to military aggression against Ukraine (02/21/22) join the measures already in place since 2014 following the annexation of Crimea and the failure of the Minsk Treaty. The aim is to effectively impede Russian ability to proceed against Ukraine. It is important to emphasize that Ukraine is considered the breadbasket of Europe and that sanctions are individual and imposed on those responsible for supporting, financing and/or carrying out actions that compromise Ukrainian integrity. Example: Belarus and Iran. Another point that cannot fail to be mentioned is that Russia has sought to prove itself to underdeveloped countries, or those with lesser international comparative power, to delegitimize Ukraine and demand the end of the guarantees that they suggested were illegal and anti-Russian. What in the face of the international scenario becomes less and less likely in the face of the global cost of Russian attacks.@FirstWoman
Why might you be wrong?
A possible revival of support from China (which currently has adopted a measured pro-Moscow speech) could change international plans and press for the non-extension of sanctions, which are scheduled to end on 01/31/2023. Russia has made efforts to end anti-Russian sanctions seeking support from African countries, major stakeholders in the global articulation around Ukraine due to the food issue. If these Russia-China-Africa agreements are reached, Vladimir Putin, who has great acceptance, may be able to continue with his anti-Nazi project. And perhaps Russia and China benefit from their antagonistic projects towards the United States.@FirstWoman
Why do you think you're right?
China gained its space in the production of parallel products. The history of "fake" goods. Based on its commercial model, it built a reign in which countries sought it out. The US, in the new government, seeks again to pull the reins of what once belonged to it, but currently needs to innovate. The path of Chinese nanotechnology may compete with India @FirstWoman
Why might you be wrong?
There would not be, in a shallow conclusion, enough reasons for countries to align themselves with the US on the commercial issue of the chip. China has played the role of moving away from the spotlight of what does not like the international community, it has slowed down its expectations compared to its ambitions. And it continues to maintain its "progress" course. In the midst of an artificial intelligence scenario, what other countries gain in relation to an alignment in this set is not significant.(?)
@FirstWoman