Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will the Latin American governments listed (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador) cease to service their external debt and enter into default before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 15, 2025 03:20PM
(2 months ago)
Jan 15, 2025 03:20PM
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 7% | 9% | -2% | -3% |
| Bolivia | 15% | 13% | +2% | -4% |
| Ecuador | 10% | 8% | +2% | -2% |
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 days from now)
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 25, 2025 09:17PM
(1 month ago)
Feb 25, 2025 09:17PM
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | Feb 25, 2025 to Feb 25, 2026 | May 25, 2025 09:17PM | 9% | -7% | -3% |
| No | 98% | Feb 25, 2025 to Feb 25, 2026 | May 25, 2025 09:17PM | 91% | +7% | +3% |