Forecasted Questions
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2024 06:57PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 25, 2024 06:57PM UTC
(6 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 | Oct 25, 2024 | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 100% | Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 | Oct 25, 2024 | 100% | +0% | +0% |
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2024 06:59PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 25, 2024 06:59PM UTC
(6 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 | Oct 25, 2024 | 55% | +5% | +6% |
| No | 40% | Sep 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025 | Oct 25, 2024 | 45% | -5% | -6% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2024 07:01PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Sep 25, 2024 07:01PM UTC
(6 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85% | Sep 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2025 | Oct 25, 2024 | 86% | -1% | +15% |
| No | 15% | Sep 25, 2024 to Sep 25, 2025 | Oct 25, 2024 | 14% | +1% | -15% |