Xi has in effect staked his regime's legitimacy on zero Covid. Backing off now would be a defeat of epic proportions.
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Answer
15%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
It's China, and they may value their economy more than we thought!
Files
Why do you think you're right?
If we put stock in the Davidson window, the Matsu islands could be the first to go.
Why might you be wrong?
It might be wrong because, well, China is an unpredictable country and using force to reclaim territory would trigger a forceful response as well.