Confirmed previous forecast
0.082544
Relative Brier Score
49
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 98 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Apr 12, 2024 05:09PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 12, 2024 to Sep 12, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 13, 2024 06:02PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 13, 2024 to Aug 13, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 15, 2024 01:03AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 15, 2024 to Jul 15, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 1, 2024 10:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 1, 2023 to Jun 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
