Confirmed previous forecast
-0.001688
Relative Brier Score
6
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0
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 98 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
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This forecast expired on Apr 12, 2024 05:09PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 12, 2024 to Sep 12, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 13, 2024 06:02PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 13, 2024 to Aug 13, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 15, 2024 01:03AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 15, 2024 to Jul 15, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 1, 2024 10:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 1, 2023 to Jun 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
