cpalma

Argentina: There are still no real signs that the government will address one of the key underlying issues behind Argentina’s economic woes – the overvalued peso. So enter into default is a higher risk. (https://www.capitaleconomics.com/publications/latin-america-economics-update/argentina-default-risks-have-eased-not-gone-away)

Bolivia: Its debt is only 35% of its GDP, so it is likely that they will pay their external debt on time

Politics in Myanmar is controlled by militars, so even if they allow an election, according to National League for Democracy (NLD) party sympathizant, it will be only "a way of trying to bring about military rule with supposed civilian approval". It is probably that militaries staged a coup like in 2020. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/election-2025-08262024083618.html

After the elections, Maduro declared victory with 51.2%. However, all polls and people in Venezuela claimed that the opposition is the real winner of the elections. Maduro’s speech in Venezuelan state tellevision show that he is not relinquishing his position as president this year. (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw5yze5k500o)