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New Prediction
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-1%)
Yes
Closer to the deadline with no sign of troop buildup necessary for a blockade
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-5%)
Yes
Gotten closer to the deadline with no signs of tension
Files