Confirmed previous forecast
-0.002351
Relative Brier Score
9
Forecasts
5
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-1%)
Yes
Closer to the deadline with no sign of troop buildup necessary for a blockade
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-5%)
Yes
Gotten closer to the deadline with no signs of tension
Files