Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
17%
(0%)
Yes
83%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
9%
Less than or equal to 24
15%
Between 25 and 34, inclusive
16%
Between 35 and 44, inclusive
17%
Between 45 and 54, inclusive
43%
More than or equal to 55
Why do you think you're right?
Increased collisions are plausible during winter months
Files
Why might you be wrong?
May be more careful with new laws increasing defensive driving
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
18%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
17%
Yes
83%
No
Why do you think you're right?
it is dangerous/againstnorms
Files
Why might you be wrong?
profits
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Lots of work to move and complications
Why might you be wrong?