Current value and downward trend make it pretty likely to stay very low.
0.145384
Relative Brier Score
15
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than $4.60
0%
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80
0%
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00
0%
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20
0%
More than or equal to $5.20
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Less than 20
27%
(0%)
Between 20 and 29, inclusive
43%
(0%)
Between 30 and 39, inclusive
16%
(0%)
Between 40 and 49, inclusive
3%
(0%)
More than or equal to 50
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
Yes
I think it is relatively likely that it will be pulled back entirely.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
Yes
It seems likely that Russia's nuclear bluffs are losing power continously.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 22, 2023 04:37PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 22, 2023 to Mar 22, 2023
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
lowering because of time passing
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Less than 20
27%
(0%)
Between 20 and 29, inclusive
43%
(0%)
Between 30 and 39, inclusive
16%
(0%)
Between 40 and 49, inclusive
3%
(0%)
More than or equal to 50
Confirmed previous forecast
Files