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New Prediction
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
55%
(0%)
Yes
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
After what appears to be decades of corruption in the Pakistani military, and larger dissatisfaction with the military at large, I think there's a slightly above 50/50 chance that Imran Khan is elected. He is a contentious figure in Pakistani politics, but it appears that the people (especially the youth) are fed up with the status quo.
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Why might you be wrong?
Imran Khan is a contentious figure, and I can imagine there remain large portions of the population who are weary of him as a politician.
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