1.583055
Relative Brier Score
275
Forecasts
16
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 235 | 137 | 412 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 37 | 22 | 59 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 84 | 55 | 116 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 20 |
Definitions |
There may be broader support by an anti-US axis for a sanctioned Venezuela, which might empower them.
This may be enough of a thing for the leaders to distract the public while also creating a rally around the flag effect.
I don't think the Venezuelan government is going to give up the claim - this might be a bargaining chip though in negotiations.
Guyana might not openly want to cede land to Venezuela - this sets a very bad precedent while also angering the US.
Following the forecast mentioned in the question.
There is some perceived chip hoarding by governments and labs which might affect this number.
Seems unlikely given current political climate
Why do you think you're right?
Just doesn't seem like a good reason
Why might you be wrong?
Strongest is Transnistria or South Ossetia flaring up again