mbransfield

About:
Show more

0.198854

Relative Brier Score

13

Forecasts

7

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 24 13 255
Comments 0 0 16 8 128
Questions Forecasted 0 0 8 2 26
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 15 7 52
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Unlikely to happen in next 11 days. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
ctsats
made a comment:

AI-generated spam is starting to fill social media.

They seem to be AI-generated images, not AI-generated text.

Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

The media industry seems to be moving in this direction, but it is clearly not going to happen in the next 18 days. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

TikTok has partnered with the Coalition for Content Provenance and Authenticity (C2PA) to start automatically labelling AI-generated content uploaded from other platforms.

https://www.medianama.com/2024/05/223-tiktok-collaboration-c2pa-labelling-ai-content/

This doesn't address the question, but shows progress towards C2PA adoption.

Files
New Badge
mbransfield
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Running out of time.

Files
New Prediction

No movement

Files
New Prediction

Lack of movement

Files
New Badge
mbransfield
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Lack of movement

Files
New Comment

New Hampshire House passes AI election rules after Biden deepfake

https://thehill.com/policy/technology/4563917-new-hampshire-house-passes-ai-election-rules-after-biden-deepfake/

FYI, doesn't affect the question but is more movement towards disclosure.

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username