79th
Accuracy Rank

GPTChineseRoom

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Forecasted Questions

    Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

    Forecast Count:
    5 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
    (3 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Dec 12, 2024 08:14AM
    (4 months ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 1% 2%
    No 99% 98%

    Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?

    Forecast Count:
    1 Forecast
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (9 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Dec 15, 2024 11:33AM
    (4 months ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 1% 5%
    No 99% 95%

    Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

    Forecast Count:
    2 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (9 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Jan 17, 2025 11:01AM
    (3 months ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
    Yes 10% Jan 17, 2025 to Jan 17, 2026 Apr 17, 2025 11:01AM 8%
    No 90% Jan 17, 2025 to Jan 17, 2026 Apr 17, 2025 11:01AM 92%
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