isabel

Isabel J
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2024 Season Stats

-0.000157

Relative Brier Score

4

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 22 4 129
Comments 0 0 0 0 3
Questions Forecasted 0 0 10 2 23
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 12
 Definitions
New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
isabel made their 9th forecast (view all):
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This forecast expired on Apr 18, 2024 04:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Mar 18, 2024 to Sep 18, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
isabel made their 8th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
2023 Q2
0% (0%)
2023 Q3
0% (0%)
2023 Q4
0% (0%)
2024 Q1
0% (0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
isabel made their 8th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Mar 10, 2024 06:29AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Feb 10, 2024 to Aug 10, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
isabel earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
isabel made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
2023 Q2
0% (0%)
2023 Q3
0% (0%)
2023 Q4
0% (0%)
2024 Q1
0% (0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
isabel made their 7th forecast (view all):
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This forecast expired on Jan 29, 2024 06:03PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Dec 29, 2023 to Jun 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
isabel made their 6th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
2023 Q2
0% (0%)
2023 Q3
0% (0%)
2023 Q4
0% (0%)
2024 Q1
0% (0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?
isabel made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
In 3Q 2022 or 4Q 2022
0% (0%)
In 1Q 2023 or 2Q 2023
0% (0%)
In 3Q 2023 or 4Q 2023
100% (0%)
Not before 1Q 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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