Bringing a resolution on publishing only C2PA is much more likely to happen in a couple of years from now.
-0.077165
Relative Brier Score
8
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
Huge companies are taking strides to label AI-generated content so I'd say there is a reasonable chance they may start labeling posts as potentially generated by AI by the beginning of the next summer.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
At the moment of making this prediction, there haven't been any clues suggesting that a top U.S. chemical or oil and gas company would join the BOTTLE consortium by the end of August 2023. It is an event that is much more likely to happen in the future.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
AI-generated movies will likely become mainstream in the next couple of years but 2023 is still too early for that.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Putin has no intention of stepping down as the president and I can see him ruling for another decade if his health serves him well.