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johnakm
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
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China Lithography
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Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
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Economic Debt
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Iran-VNSAs
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
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semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 1, 2025 05:01AM
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
0.000229
Dec 1, 2024 05:01AM
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
-0.236869
May 1, 2024 04:01AM
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
0.013323
Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM
Will YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, or Twitter enable digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) on photos or videos in 2023?
-0.003462
Sep 12, 2023 09:00PM
Will a new song with AI-generated vocals be streamed over 10 million times on Spotify before 1 June 2024?
-0.080957
Mar 19, 2023 04:00AM
Will Microsoft's AI-powered βnew Bingβ be available to the public by 30 April 2023?
-0.341817
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