Sierra

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New Prediction
Sierra
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Sep 11, 2023 04:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
Yes
Aug 11, 2023 to Feb 11, 2024

Iran isn't the primal target for the moment, as the center of conflict slides over African disputes. 

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Why do you think you're right?

As tension rises, some Muslim countries might find common ground in pursuing similar goals in the Eastern Mediterranean area. 

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Why might you be wrong?

Propably the above mentioned thought will take place through informal channels and Muslim countries that want to cooperate with Israel will avoid to sign any formal document. 

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It seems quite unlikely to happen, as the region will face new tention arising from the Turkish upcoming elections, the political agenda of PM Netanyahu and the energy crisis of the the following winter. 

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