affirming...
0% since September
-0.222869
Relative Brier Score
733
Forecasts
46
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 25 | 70 | 836 | 733 | 1596 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 36 | 34 | 65 |
| Questions Forecasted | 24 | 36 | 83 | 61 | 125 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 48 | 46 | 111 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
21%
(0%)
Yes
79%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-4%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
1%
(-1%)
Su-35 fighter jets
all but zero'ing out...
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
90%
(0%)
No
Nov 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-6%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
3%
(-1%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
13%
(-7%)
Yes
87%
(+7%)
No
updating
Files
bump