| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 4 | 53 | 373 | 275 | 537 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 36 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 25 | 54 | 42 | 60 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 2 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 85 |
| Definitions | |||||
Going up as Israel continues bombarding the south of Lebanon with increasing firepower. More importantly, Hezbollah retaliated with a missile that was aimed towards Tel Aviv which the Israeli defenses intercepted close to this city. This is unprecedented.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/25/middleeast/israel-rocket-lebanon-tel-aviv-intl-hnk/index.html
Adjusting to match the 6-month similar question (https://www.randforecastinginitiative.org/comments/140624)
Going up towards slightly more likely than not. In addition to all the insightful analyses including that of @cmeinel , the fact that residents of southern Lebanon are fleeing tells this series of attacks might likely lead to a land invasion.
Confirming previous forecast based on the declarations by the Saudi Crown Prince (first posted by @VidurKapur): Saudi Crown Prince Says No to Israel Ties Without Palestinian State.
Confirming previous forecast - there is no incentive to Iran's disarming in the foreseeable future.
Confirming previous forecast.
Confirming previous forecast.
NVIDIA's performance seems too inconsistent to surmount Microsoft and Apple in the mid term.
Confirming previous forecast.
Going up as Israel continues bombarding the south of Lebanon with increasing firepower. More importantly, Hezbollah retaliated with a missile that was aimed towards Tel Aviv which the Israeli defenses intercepted close to this city. This is unprecedented.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/25/middleeast/israel-rocket-lebanon-tel-aviv-intl-hnk/index.html