retaliatory measure for Iranian involvement in Hezbollah and Hamas
-0.181989
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 15, 2023 06:15PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
65%
Yes
Oct 15, 2023 to Apr 15, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
10%
(0%)
Qatar
50%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 15, 2023 06:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 15, 2023 to Apr 15, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Kuwait
0%
Oman
10%
Qatar
50%
Saudi Arabia
0%
Tunisia
Why do you think you're right?
There have been high level talks
Files
Why might you be wrong?
MBS may not want to anger his people to maintain his power
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
The situation is already incredibly grave and hundreds of casualties have been reported. With a withdrawal of US diplomats and the general unrest and high number of fatalities the nation faces from terrorist and insurgent cells, this coup is likely to cause a significant number of tragedies. Both the RSF and ASF desperately seek power.
Files
The retaliation would be worse.