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New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
7%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-15%)
Yes
100%
(+15%)
No
This is going to evaluate tomorrow and I didn't get to update my forecast until now, very unlikely it still turns to true.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(0%)
Yes
5%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files