There is no evidence to sustain the progression of any of the elements listed above, especially regarding Egypt's annual headline inflation rate, which has been in a downturn to stabilize at around 25%.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
98%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
You never know. The slight chance of a deepening in the Arab crisis surrounding the Israeli war and nearby conflicts could produce economic impacts, although not so large to count for an "economic collapse" in the next 12 months.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 28, 2025 11:08AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025
95%
(0%)
No
Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Argentina
14%
(0%)
Bolivia
5%
(0%)
Ecuador
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 21, 2025 06:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
Yes
Jan 21, 2025 to Jul 21, 2025
95%
No
Jan 21, 2025 to Jul 21, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
There is no apparent reason for the PRoC propose such offensive against Taiwan, inasmuch as the rise of Donald Trump in the United States may alter the Indo-Pacific dynamic. It is unclear, however, that this proposition can sustain itself in the coming years, particularly with the global focus on the Israeli war and on the ongoing Ukrainian conflict, both without a forthcoming resolution for peace. Therefore, the chances of the PLA invading or even promoting a small offensive into Taiwanese territory seems rather small, if not non-existent.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Well, chances always exist, even if diminished by statistics and probability.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Argentina
14%
(0%)
Bolivia
5%
(0%)
Ecuador
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?
The current escalation on the tone given to the Iranian nuclear program's talks between Russian, American and European authorities, particularly under Trump's new multifaceted and unpredictable agenda, suggests a higher scenario of suspense and drama than expected.