Confirmed previous forecast
0.025735
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Science & Technology,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Artificial Intelligence
Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs,
Decoding Disinformation
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
60%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 29, 2024 10:45PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(-17%)
Yes
Aug 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2024
95%
(+17%)
No
Aug 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2024
Although the Pakistani move sets a comfortable precedent for Iraq to follow its lead, there is no singular evidence of Iraqi movements regarding the return of its Ambassador to Iran since January.
It is more likely that the return will happen until the end of the year or even the first quarter/semester of 2025, not in the next month, and only if there are any advancements (which haven't been related ever since). Even so, there could be a slight (proximal to minimal) chance.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 29, 2024 10:42PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
22%
Yes
Aug 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2024
78%
No
Aug 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2024
Comment deleted on Aug 29, 2024 10:44PM UTC
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
60%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 24
20%
(0%)
Between 25 and 34, inclusive
40%
(0%)
Between 35 and 44, inclusive
15%
(0%)
Between 45 and 54, inclusive
10%
(0%)
More than or equal to 55
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
It could be possible that Nvidia reaches its peak again with the traditional rise in technology companies' value from December to March, surpassing Apple, Microsoft and others, but that does not seem likely given the company's recent "controlled" dive from the all-time high of 3.6T earlier this June. In that perspective, Microsoft holds a larger chance of being the world's most valuable company by market cap than Nvidia next May.