It's too soon for something like this to happen.
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New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?
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Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
Yes
75%
No
I do not believe this will happen so soon.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
Yes
15%
No
This is very likely due to Meta's effort to disrupt large scale AI-powered disinformation campaigns.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
Yes
94%
No
I do not believe this will be implemented in 2023 or that social media platforms will buy into this idea in the near future.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 4 million
0%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
This is still a new concept that not very many people know about.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
56%
Yes
44%
No
AI is already widely used across industries. Social media platforms are likely to announce labeling posts as potentially written by AI to increase transparency and reduce disinformation.
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