Stq

About:
Show more

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 5 0 10
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 5 0 5
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 1 0 1
 Definitions
New Badge
Stq
earned a new badge:

Upvotes Received

New Prediction
Stq
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 29, 2023 04:44PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Nov 29, 2023 to May 29, 2024
90%
No
Nov 29, 2023 to May 29, 2024

Israel is still in the middle of a conflict, so this seems unlikely to happen. However, they were planning on it before and it is only an announcement is needed, which can happen quickly.

Files
New Prediction
Stq
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
1% (0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Stq
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Feb 29, 2024 04:32PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 29, 2023 to May 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Stq
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Stq
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
S-400 or S-500 missile system
1%
Su-35 fighter jets
Even tho Russia and Iran has deepend their diplomatic relationship, they will not deliver these weapons since Russia has a long history of good relations with Israel. And Russia is unstable itself.
Files
New Prediction

all signs point to yes

Files
New Prediction
Stq
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jan 16, 2024 11:36AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Oct 16, 2023 to Apr 16, 2024

There is no benefit for Iran to limit uranium enrichment and the world will not be focused on this in the next 6 months

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username